Every summer, I study ADP fluctuations of players, unearthing not only how much their value has changed; but also why it did. We must reflect on the past in order to learn from our mistakes (and successes), but production shouldn’t be the only factor in whether or not we were right or wrong: price must also be considered. Lamar Miller, Toby Gerhart and Cordarrelle Patterson have been fine examples of off-season media-driven hype over the last few years, but hopefully they will have made us better at predicting who will succeed and who to be wary of. The latest valuation of players we have is from our August ADP data, and now might be the last chance to act on what has happened over the summer. Do you really feel a player will breakout this year? Buy them before it happens on the field. Have you grown sceptical of a player whose hype has gained too much steam? Get out before it’s too late.
In this series, I take a player’s ADP rank in March (the first month in which the rookies were included in the data) and show how that rank has changed from then to now. Any notable changes are listed; otherwise the player is omitted as their value has remained very stable. As I did last year, I want to preface the study by making it clear it only takes one drafter in each mock to inflate any given player’s ADP. However, it is still the best way to get an idea of how dynasty drafters feel about each player.
Note: Each part of the series will focus on different groups of players. This part looks at changes in the top 50 (not including rookies).
Changes at the Top
Brandin Cooks, WR NO Via:: Dynasty League Football The post Off-Season Reflections: Changes at the Top appeared first on Dynasty Football Fan.
March ADP Rank: 25, …read more