Running back production depends massively on ‘situation.’ The offense, the linemen and the competition for touches all contribute heavily to their success. Mediocre runners can excel with volume and holes to run through, while talented backs can be taken down by a committee backfield. After the first two weeks, the featured backs for the top two offenses in the league are a 32-year old vet in DeAngelo Williams and a player on his fourth team in five seasons in the form of Dion Lewis. Both of them are in the top five fantasy backs, but it could be argued (strongly) that the production is more to do with their teams and scoring opportunities than simply being the most talented players at their positions.
In this article in the series, I continue to reflect on players whose ADPs changed this off-season, looking specifically in this piece at running backs who rose due to situational changes. We can obviously make good cases to invest in them (otherwise they wouldn’t have climbed this far), but we have to ask ourselves why they rose. Was it for a valid reason? Are we confident they earned it? What are our expectations moving forward?
CJ Spiller, RB NO
March ADP: 108, August ADP: 62 (+46)
As covered in ‘Changes at the Top‘, both Mark Ingram and Spiller rose steadily over the off-season. We should always expect Drew Brees‘ backs to be heavily involved in the passing game and Ingram kicked off the season with eight catches for 98 yards in Spiller’s absence. Last week, a touchdown salvaged a 58-yard performance in a demoralising loss. However, with the news that Brees reportedly has pain and weakness in his throwing arm, I’m becoming increasingly worried for every piece in the Saints offense right now.
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