Super Bowl 50 is officially now in the books, and the football season is over. I’ll pause for a few moments to let you shed a few tears…………unless you are a man, then you hold those tears in! Because we all know real mean don’t cry (unless you are talking about your quarterback, right T.O.?). So now that you’ve gathered yourself and your emotions, it’s time to get to it because the offseason is here upon us. Sure — during the season is when you are setting your lineups, scoring points, winning games, and hopefully getting to your league’s championship game. However, the offseason is arguably the most critical time for dynasty owners because it is when you shape and mold your roster into however you want it to look or whichever direction you are planning on going. Rosters in the offseason take a new look with the rookie draft, the waiver wire, and of course through trading. You should be comprising a list (either physical or mental) of players you want to target to buy, or players you feel you should sell. My series is here to give you my opinion on the buying portion and which players I feel you should consider trying to acquire this offseason.
If you read my last installment of The Dynasty Price is Right series, you may recall that it focused on giving you buying options for your start up drafts using ADP data to identify these players. While that is obviously a very important aspect of dynasties because you are building your foundation to work with, perhaps you aren’t doing any start up drafts this offseason and sticking solely with your current teams. If that’s the case you may be asking yourself, “well where is the trading portion of your series that existed during the season?” Being this is still a relatively new series, I am always trying to add tweaks and wrinkles to get make it better. So I am here to inform you that my series is morphing into a two part series for the rest of the offseason. It will run every two weeks or so, with one part focusing on buys in regards to trading, and the other part falling in line with the last article previous to this one. That’s where I’ll go over DLF’s monthly ADP data and identify targets for a start up draft. To avoid repetition, I will try to avoid covering the same players in both parts. However, you can assume that if I mention someone as a strong target in a start up draft according to his ADP, that I probably consider that player a good buy target in trades as well. This article is going to focus on the trading side of things, so let’s jump to it and allow me to give you a few names to consider targeting in your leagues, starting with my featured player.
Keenan Allen, San Diego
We all know that Allen had a great rookie season and then followed that up with what was largely a dud sophomore campaign. Because his 2015 season was cut short due to injury, I think some people forget just how good the Chargers wide receiver was in his third season. Let me give you a few stats to remind you — for fantasy purposes Allen was the fourth overall wideout from weeks 1-8 (week eight being the last game he played before landing on IR), was one of only seven wide receivers to average 20+ fantasy points per game, and averaged 11.1 targets per game, which ties him for fourth on the season with Demaryius Thomas in that category.
Now that I have given you his 2015 fantasy stats, let me give you a couple non-fantasy stats to help complete the picture of Allen’s third season. Allen caught 75 percent of his targets, which is outstanding efficiency considering how many targets he was getting. He did only average 10.8 yards per reception, which while that’s not terrible, I’d like to see it a little higher than that. Just as a comparison, he averaged 14.7 yards per reception his rookie campaign. Even getting targeted downfield more in his rookie year, Allen still caught over 67 percent of his targets in 2013 which is also really exceptional. I’m sharing this with you to debunk any theory that he was only super efficient this past season because he wasn’t getting targeted downfield often. This data tells you that Keenan Allen is a highly efficient receiver no matter where he is targeted. In fact, he caught 100 percent of his passes deep right and deep middle of the field in 2015; and while that number is certainly skewed a bit because of the low number of deep targets he received, it still helps to show that he does not lose much efficiency further down the field.
[inlinead]As I stated in the last paragraph, I would like to see a higher yards per reception number than what Allen achieved in 2015. He isn’t a burner by any means and doesn’t possess elite speed, so I don’t expect him to ever be phenomenal in that category. But going forward, I would like to see him get more downfield targets as he did his rookie year. I do think a part of the reason he wasn’t targeted downfield as often this past season is due to just how ravaged by injuries the Chargers were on the offensive line all season long. They never had consistency on the offensive line because of all the injuries they sustained there, and that yielded very bad blocking. Obviously you can’t throw deep when your quarterback doesn’t have the protection and time to do so, and therefore you have to run shorter and quicker routes to compensate for the lack of protection.
So what happened to Allen in 2014? I took a look back and watched some of his game film, and I still saw most of the the attributes in which he …read more
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